Noordwijk vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for TOGB. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noordwijk vs TOGB?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noordwijk vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noordwijk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Noordwijk wins, 0 draws, 1 TOGB win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB 0-3 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Noordwijk 1-2 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 13, 2025 | TOGB 0-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 4, 2024 | TOGB 0-4 Noordwijk | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noordwijk sit 1st in Derde Divisie (22 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Noordwijk vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noordwijk vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for TOGB.
- Where and when is Noordwijk vs TOGB played?
- Noordwijk vs TOGB is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Duinwetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.