Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Hoogeveen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen?
On Elo ratings, Excelsior '31 has 1,830 points and Hoogeveen 1,742.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Hoogeveen
4-3-2-1- 9S. Egbers
- 10E. Bijlsma
- 8Menno Heerkes
- 12Tom Heerkes
- 14Jim Veltmaat
- 19Joey Roufs
- 21G. Klok
- 4L. van Dijk
- 24Alagie Jabbie
- 2Bjorn Klaassens
- 1Nick Borgman
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Hoogeveen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ACV(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Excelsior '31 wins, 1 draw, 0 Hoogeveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen 0-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Excelsior '31 3-3 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hoogeveen 0-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31 on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hoogeveen score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Hoogeveen | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 4th in Derde Divisie (22 points from 10 matches) and Hoogeveen sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior '31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Hoogeveen.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen played?
- Excelsior '31 vs Hoogeveen is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.