Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, Vlaardingen
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Zwaluwen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Noordwijk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk?
On Elo ratings, Zwaluwen has 1,765 points and Noordwijk 1,842.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 9J. van Mullem
- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 16D. van Rijn
- 4Vincent van Dorp
- 3L. Krznaric
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zwaluwen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Noordwijk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Zwaluwen wins, 0 draws, 1 Noordwijk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk 1-2 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Noordwijk 1-0 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Zwaluwen 2-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Noordwijk vs Zwaluwen on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zwaluwen score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zwaluwen | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zwaluwen sit 6th in Derde Divisie (16 points from 9 matches) and Noordwijk sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Zwaluwen.
- Where and when is Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk played?
- Zwaluwen vs Noordwijk is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.