Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-4 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 19, 2027Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Herzliya
- Feb 19, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsBeitar Yavne
- Feb 19, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 19, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Hadera
- Feb 20, 2027DimonavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel SderotvsFC Jerusalem
- Feb 20, 2027Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Marmorek
- Feb 20, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHolon Yermiyahu