Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemShimshon Tel Aviv

The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).

Nordia Jerusalem win31 %
Draw26 %
Shimshon Tel Aviv win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
Shimshon Tel Aviv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)4-2Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(home)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)1-3Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 5, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Feb 12, 2025Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-4 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Oct 15, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Mar 8, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel AvivLiga Alef
Oct 5, 2023Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-2 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.31.067/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868282830
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and Shimshon Tel Aviv

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