Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-4 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Azor
- Oct 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsDimona
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 24, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsTzeirey Tira
- Oct 24, 2026FC JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot