Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem played?

Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Hapoel Sderot

FC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,653) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).

Hapoel Sderot win35 %

Draw26 %

FC Jerusalem win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Sderot
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 27, 2025	Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)	1-2	State Cup
Oct 29, 2025	Hapoel Hadera(away)	4-3	State Cup
Sep 30, 2025	Araba(home)	2-1	State Cup
Oct 2, 2018	Maccabi Yavne(home)	0-4	State Cup

FC Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Dimona(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Nordia Jerusalem(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	5-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Sderot	1.8	2.5	0	3/4	4/4
FC Jerusalem	2.1	1.3	3	9/15	10/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	45	29	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem?: The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Sderot.
Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem played?: Hapoel Sderot vs FC Jerusalem is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.