Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Satrup, Mittelangeln
The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Nordmark Satrup (1,757) and TSB Flensburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordmark Satrup have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nordmark Satrup win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 TSB Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Nordmark Satrup 1-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 0-2 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 4, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 4-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Nordmark Satrup 0-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg on Apr 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordmark Satrup sit 6th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Nordmark Satrup vs TSB Flensburg is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Satrup, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.