Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadtwerke Arena, Eckernförde
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster?
Union Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eckernförder SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eckernförder SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Eckernförder SV 1-4 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Union Neumünster 1-3 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 3-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Union Neumünster 3-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 0-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Union Neumünster 5-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eckernförder SV sit 14th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (3 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster played?
- Eckernförder SV vs Union Neumünster is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadtwerke Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.