Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Norrby IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norrby IF have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Norrkoping have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Norrby IF win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 IFK Norrkoping win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping 0-1 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Norrby IF 1-1 IFK Norrkoping | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: IFK Norrkoping vs Norrby IF on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Norrby IF score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby IF | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norrby IF sit 12th in Superettan (23 points from 20 matches) and IFK Norrkoping sit 1st (44 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 44 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Norrby IF.
- Where and when is Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping played?
- Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.