Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jämtkraft Arena, Östersund
The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for United Nordic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Ostersunds FK (1,674) and United Nordic (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostersunds FK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; United Nordic have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ostersunds FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 United Nordic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | United Nordic 1-1 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: United Nordic vs Ostersunds FK on Jun 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostersunds FK score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; United Nordic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| United Nordic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostersunds FK sit 4th in Superettan (33 points from 19 matches) and United Nordic sit 5th (32 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 33 |
| 5 | United Nordic | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic?
- The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for United Nordic.
- Where and when is Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic played?
- Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jämtkraft Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.