IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo
The Footlab model makes Sandviken the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate IFK Varnamo (1,591) and Sandviken (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Varnamo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sandviken have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-4 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 5-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 IFK Varnamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sandviken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sandviken 0-1 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Sandviken vs IFK Varnamo on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Varnamo score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sandviken score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sandviken | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Varnamo sit 14th in Superettan (18 points from 19 matches) and Sandviken sit 9th (26 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sandviken | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 26 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken?
- The Footlab model makes Sandviken the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken played?
- IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Finnvedsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.