North Ferriby United vs Runcorn Linnets: result 2-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 12, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eon Visual Media Stadium, North Ferriby, East Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of North Ferriby United vs Runcorn Linnets?
North Ferriby United won 2-0 on October 12, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, North Ferriby United have 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Runcorn Linnets have 5, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2013 | Buxton(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Frickley Athletic(away) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Ossett Albion(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Eccleshill United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2013 | Cammell Laird(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Glossop North End(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Ossett Albion(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Maine Road(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Hemsworth MW(home) | 4-4 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
North Ferriby United score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Runcorn Linnets score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ferriby United | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/12 | 9/12 |
| Runcorn Linnets | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 4/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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