North Texas vs Real Monarchs: result 2-4 and analysis
MLS Next ProRegular Season - 38Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Full time
What was the result of North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
Real Monarchs won 2-4 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′C. SalazarNorth Texas
- 26′Jesús Rafael Barea BarrosoReal Monarchs
- 31′Jesús Rafael Barea BarrosoReal Monarchs
- 56′M. JenningsReal Monarchs
- 60′Lineker RodriguesReal Monarchs
- 86′542204North Texas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Texas have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Monarchs have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Minnesota United II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Sporting KC II(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Ventura County(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Ventura County(away) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Los Angeles FC II(home) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Los Angeles FC II(away) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Ventura County(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Sporting KC II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Tacoma Defiance(home) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 28, 2025 | The Town(away) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 North Texas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Monarchs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Real Monarchs 1-2 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
| May 25, 2024 | North Texas 2-1 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Real Monarchs 1-1 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 22, 2023 | North Texas 0-1 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 13, 2022 | North Texas 4-0 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| May 21, 2022 | Real Monarchs 0-3 North Texas | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Real Monarchs vs North Texas on Jun 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
North Texas score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Monarchs score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Monarchs | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North Texas sit 9th in MLS Next Pro (33 points from 23 matches) and Real Monarchs sit 11th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 9 | North Texas | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | North Texas | 21 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2025New England II0-1Crown Legacy
- Sep 26, 2025Toronto II1-2Philadelphia Union II
- Sep 27, 2025Austin II1-2Portland Timbers II
- Sep 27, 2025Colorado Rapids II1-2Minnesota United II
- Sep 27, 2025Carolina Core3-3Orlando City II
- Sep 28, 2025Sporting KC II1-2Ventura County
- Sep 28, 2025Chicago Fire II2-5Atlanta United II
- Sep 28, 2025St. Louis City II1-1Los Angeles FC II