Northampton vs Crawley Town: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 8, 2011 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
Full time
What was the result of Northampton vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town won 0-1 on October 8, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 23′M. TubbsCrawley Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Crawley Town have 8, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Barnet(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2011 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Torquay(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Plymouth(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Bradford(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Morecambe(away) | 0-6 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 14; Crawley Town score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/14 | 10/14 |
| Crawley Town | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 18th in League Two (1 points from 2 matches) and Crawley Town sit 15th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy