Northern City vs Real Tamale: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jinapor Stadium, Jinapor
The Footlab model makes Northern City the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Real Tamale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northern City vs Real Tamale?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Northern City (1,471) and Real Tamale (1,503).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Real Tamale have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Tamale City(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Tamale(away) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sankara Nationals(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bolga AllStars(away) | 3-3 | Division One League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Yapei(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Wa Power(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Northern City(home) | 2-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bolga AllStars(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | TF Exponential(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tamale City(home) | 3-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Northern City win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Real Tamale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Tamale 2-3 Northern City | Division One League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Northern City 0-1 Real Tamale | Division One League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Real Tamale 1-0 Northern City | Division One League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Northern City 2-3 Real Tamale | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Real Tamale vs Northern City on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Northern City score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Tamale score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern City | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Tamale | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northern City sit 1st in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Real Tamale sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Real Tamale | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northern City vs Real Tamale?
- The Footlab model makes Northern City the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Real Tamale.
- Where and when is Northern City vs Real Tamale played?
- Northern City vs Real Tamale is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jinapor Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.