Northwood vs Guernsey: result 3-3 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on November 1, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Roofing Stadium, London
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What was the result of Northwood vs Guernsey?
Northwood and Guernsey drew 3-3 on November 1, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northwood have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Guernsey have 4, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Waltham Abbey(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Barton Rovers(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Barton Rovers(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Kings Langley(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Kings Langley(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Barton Rovers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Barkingside(away) | 6-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Northwood score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guernsey score 2.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwood | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Guernsey | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 4/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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