Estonia vs Norway: result 0-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on June 9, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Norway?
Norway won 0-1 on June 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 62′E. HaalandNorway
Official lineup for Estonia vs Norway
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estonia
- 14P. Kristal
- 15R. Sappinen
- 4M. Käit
- 5R. Shein
- 10K. Palumets
- 23V. Sinyavskiy
- 2M. Kuusk
- 3J. Saliste
- 13M. Paskotši
- 18M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 1K. Hein
Norway
4-3-3- 20A. Nusa
- 9E. Haaland
- 7A. Sørloth
- 2M. Thorsby
- 8S. Berge
- 10M. Ødegaard
- 5D. Møller Wolfe
- 17T. Heggem
- 3K. Ajer
- 14J. Ryerson
- 1Ø. Nyland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Norway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | Israel(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Moldova(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Israel(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Slovakia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | Italy(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Israel(away) | 4-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Moldova(away) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Kazakhstan(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Slovenia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norway score 2.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Norway | 2.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (4 points from 8 matches) and Norway sit 1st (24 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Estonia vs Norway?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy