Match

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Avant Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Norwich City U21Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes Norwich City U21 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Norwich City U21 (1,715) and Stoke City U21 (1,629).

Norwich City U21 win59 %
Draw20 %
Stoke City U21 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich City U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Norwich City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Middlesbrough U21(away)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)2-1National League Cup
Jul 31, 2026Boreham Wood(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(home)2-4Professional Development League
Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brentford U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe(away)0-4National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Leeds United U21(home)0-0Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026Chester(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Tamworth(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Norwich City U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stoke City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Norwich City U21 4-2 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 11, 2025Norwich City U21 0-3 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 8, 2024Stoke City U21 4-2 Norwich City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 6, 2023Norwich City U21 3-0 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 9, 2022Stoke City U21 2-2 Norwich City U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21 on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Norwich City U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Norwich City U211.71.7212/1511/15
Stoke City U210.92.638/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Norwich City U21 sit 11th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Stoke City U21 sit 23rd (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Norwich City U211100103
23Stoke City U211001230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21?
The Footlab model makes Norwich City U21 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Avant Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Norwich City U21 and Stoke City U21

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