Norwich vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Norwich wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Bristol City?
Norwich starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 11A. Brooks
- 16Jacob Wright
- 25P. Maghoma
- 49A. Musaba
- 26S. Field
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 6H. Darling
- 32D. Grimshaw
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 9L. Tolaj
- 12J. Knight
- 21Rio Cardines
- 8J. Williams
- 10S. Twine
- 23D. Ballard
- 19G. Tanner
- 3C. Pring
- 2L. Eissat
- 15L. McNally
- 40B. Collins
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Bristol City have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Derby(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Watford(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Norwich wins, 1 draw, 3 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bristol City 0-5 Norwich | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bristol City 2-4 Norwich | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Norwich 0-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Bristol City 2-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Norwich 0-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Norwich 1-1 Bristol City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Norwich on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 12th in Championship (21 points from 15 matches) and Bristol City sit 17th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 21 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
A question about Norwich vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Bristol City played?
- Norwich vs Bristol City is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.