Bristol City vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 17J. Wallace
- 20S. Greenwood
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 2L. Eissat
- 3C. Pring
- 1S. Tickle
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bristol City wins, 1 draw, 0 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bristol City 2-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 11th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
A question about Bristol City vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Middlesbrough played?
- Bristol City vs Middlesbrough is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.