Norwich vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs West Ham?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,121 vs 1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 7P. Mattsson
- 11A. Brooks
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 20A. Ben Slimane
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 33J. Córdoba
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 1V. Kovačević
West Ham
4-4-2- 11V. Castellanos
- 9J. Piroe
- 7A. Engels
- 14D. Mukasa
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 2K. Walker-Peters
- 5Morato
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; West Ham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Norwich wins, 2 draws, 4 West Ham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Norwich 0-4 West Ham | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2022 | West Ham 2-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Jul 11, 2020 | Norwich 0-4 West Ham | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2019 | West Ham 2-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Norwich 2-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2015 | West Ham 2-2 Norwich | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| West Ham | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 19th in Championship (9 points from 9 matches) and West Ham sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Norwich vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Norwich vs West Ham played?
- Norwich vs West Ham is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.