Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, Notaresco
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Montecchio Gallo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Notaresco (1,728) and Montecchio Gallo (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notaresco have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Montecchio Gallo have 2, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Notaresco win, 0 draws, 0 Montecchio Gallo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo 0-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Montecchio Gallo vs Notaresco on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notaresco score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montecchio Gallo score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notaresco | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Montecchio Gallo | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notaresco sit 6th in Serie D - Girone F (11 points from 7 matches) and Montecchio Gallo sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 12 | Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Montecchio Gallo.
- Where and when is Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo played?
- Notaresco vs Montecchio Gallo is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.