Match

Recanatese vs Notaresco: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati

RecanateseNotaresco

The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notaresco wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recanatese vs Notaresco?

Notaresco starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,557).

28%27%45%
Recanatese winDrawNotaresco win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Recanatese vs Notaresco

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Recanatese

Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.

Notaresco

5-3-2
  1. 10P. Banegas
  2. 17A. Mancini
  1. 9Mateus Ribeiro
  2. 7L. Marchionni
  3. 4L. Bianciardi
  1. 6I. Speranza
  2. 33M. Gallo
  3. 24R. Di Stefano
  4. 5G. Colombatti
  5. 13J. Di Saverio
  1. 1K. Shiba

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Notaresco have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recanatese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Notaresco(away)1-2Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Maceratese(home)2-3Serie D - Girone F
Sep 27, 2026Lanciano FC(away)1-4Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Montecchio Gallo(home)0-0Serie D - Girone F
Sep 16, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)4-1Serie D - Girone F
Notaresco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Recanatese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone F
Oct 4, 2026Montecchio Gallo(away)1-0Serie D - Girone F
Sep 26, 2026Pietralunga(home)1-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 20, 2026Foligno Calcio(away)0-1Serie D - Girone F
Sep 16, 2026Santegidiese(home)1-0Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Recanatese win, 1 draw, 4 Notaresco wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Notaresco 2-1 RecanateseSerie D - Girone F
Jan 4, 2026Notaresco 2-0 RecanateseSerie D - Girone F
Sep 7, 2025Recanatese 1-4 NotarescoSerie D - Girone F
Feb 9, 2025Notaresco 1-1 RecanateseSerie D - Girone F
Oct 13, 2024Recanatese 2-0 NotarescoSerie D - Girone F
May 15, 2022Notaresco 3-0 RecanateseSerie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Notaresco vs Recanatese on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Recanatese1.51.3510/159/15
Notaresco1.31.2310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (6 points from 7 matches) and Notaresco sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Notaresco73228711
15Recanatese71339116

A question about Recanatese vs Notaresco?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Notaresco?
The Footlab AI model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese.
Where and when is Recanatese vs Notaresco played?
Recanatese vs Notaresco is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Recanatese and Notaresco

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