Where and when is Recanatese vs Notaresco played?

Recanatese vs Notaresco is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Recanatese vs Notaresco: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati

Recanatese

Notaresco

The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recanatese vs Notaresco?

Notaresco starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,621).

Recanatese win28 %

Draw27 %

Notaresco win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Notaresco have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recanatese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Victor San Marino(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Fossombrone(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Teramo(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Sora(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Maceratese(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F

Notaresco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Teramo(away)	1-3	Serie D - Girone F
May 10, 2026	Ancona(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Ancona(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Victor San Marino(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Termoli Calcio(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Recanatese win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Notaresco win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 4, 2026	Notaresco 2-0 Recanatese	Serie D - Girone F
Sep 7, 2025	Recanatese 1-4 Notaresco	Serie D - Girone F
Feb 9, 2025	Notaresco 1-1 Recanatese	Serie D - Girone F
Oct 13, 2024	Recanatese 2-0 Notaresco	Serie D - Girone F
May 15, 2022	Notaresco 3-0 Recanatese	Serie D - Girone F
Dec 22, 2021	Recanatese 3-0 Notaresco	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Notaresco vs Recanatese on Jan 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Recanatese	1.3	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Notaresco	1.4	1.0	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (32 points from 34 matches) and Notaresco sit 5th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Notaresco	34	13	12	9	43	31	51
15	Recanatese	34	8	8	18	39	57	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Notaresco?: The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese.
Where and when is Recanatese vs Notaresco played?: Recanatese vs Notaresco is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.