Notodden vs Lysekloster: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Optime Arena, Notodden
The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lysekloster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notodden vs Lysekloster?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Notodden (1,749) and Lysekloster (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notodden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lysekloster have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Åssiden IF(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Os(away) | 0-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bjarg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Notodden win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lysekloster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Lysekloster 0-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Notodden 0-2 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Lysekloster 0-0 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lysekloster 1-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Notodden 1-1 Lysekloster | 2. Division - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lysekloster vs Notodden on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notodden score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lysekloster score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Lysekloster | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notodden sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 1 (27 points from 16 matches) and Lysekloster sit 12th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 27 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notodden vs Lysekloster?
- The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lysekloster.
- Where and when is Notodden vs Lysekloster played?
- Notodden vs Lysekloster is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Optime Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.