Match

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Nottingham Forest U21Borussia Dortmund II

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Nottingham Forest U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nottingham Forest U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Borussia Dortmund II starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,820).

Nottingham Forest U21 win21 %
Draw21 %
Borussia Dortmund II win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nottingham Forest U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Sunderland U21(away)1-5Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Gateshead(away)1-1National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Luton Town U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
May 11, 2026Norwich City U21(home)1-2Professional Development League
May 4, 2026Peterborough United U21(away)1-0Professional Development League
Borussia Dortmund II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026Köln II(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Bochum II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2026Dordrecht(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nottingham Forest U211.31.757/159/15
Borussia Dortmund II1.61.4210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Nottingham Forest U21.
Where and when is Nottingham Forest U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II played?
Nottingham Forest U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nottingham Forest U21 and Borussia Dortmund II

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