Nottingham Forest vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 17, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on September 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 5′A. ReidNottingham Forest (pen.)
- 29′Jamie John WardDerby
- 73′J. HendrickDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 4, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2011 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2011 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Burnley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Doncaster(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2011 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 3/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy