Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle: result 3-4 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 20, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Newcastle won 3-4 on September 20, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 39′P. LøvenkrandsNewcastle
- 46′Robbie FindleyNottingham Forest
- 60′P. LøvenkrandsNewcastle (pen.)
- 66′M. DerbyshireNottingham Forest
- 93′D. SimpsonNewcastle
- 114′M. TudgayNottingham Forest
- 120′F. ColocciniNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Newcastle have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Derby(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2011 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2011 | QPR(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Fulham(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2011 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Sunderland(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 9; Newcastle score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
| Newcastle | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy