Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City: result 3-2 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 26, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City?
Nottingham Forest won 3-2 on September 26, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 19′B. OsbornNottingham Forest
- 40′Daryl Michael MurphyNottingham Forest
- 50′J. LolleyNottingham Forest
- 60′B. AfobeStoke City
- 83′S. BerahinoStoke City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Brentford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2018 | Newcastle(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Blackburn(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Swansea(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2018 | Huddersfield(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy