Stoke City vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If QPR wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs QPR?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,877) and QPR (1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs QPR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 40M. Talovierov
- 1V. Johansson
QPR
4-2-3-1- 26Rayan Jawad Kolli
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 11P. Smyth
- 20H. Vale
- 17K. Poku
- 5R. Edwards
- 3J. Dunne
- 2K. Adamson
- 12B. Kemper
- 1P. Charles
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Derby(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 2 QPR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Stoke City 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | QPR 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Stoke City 3-1 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | QPR 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Stoke City 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2023 | QPR 4-2 Stoke City | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| QPR | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 8th in Championship (16 points from 10 matches) and QPR sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Stoke City vs QPR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs QPR?
- The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs QPR played?
- Stoke City vs QPR is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.