Notts County vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
EFL TrophyGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Notts County vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on October 10, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 20′L. SibleyDerby
- 57′L. SibleyDerby
- 78′J. MoriasNotts County (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Barrow(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Colchester(away) | 4-5 | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Forest Green(home) | 4-3 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Salford City(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Blackpool(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Lincoln(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Notts County win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2021 | Notts County 0-2 Derby | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy