Notts County vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Notts County (1,854) and Doncaster (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Doncaster
3-4-1-2- 9B. Hanlan
- 10A. May
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 8G. Broadbent
- 11L. Ayinde
- 19J. Thomas
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Doncaster have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Notts County wins, 2 draws, 1 Doncaster win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Doncaster 1-1 Notts County | League One |
| May 3, 2025 | Notts County 1-2 Doncaster | League Two |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Doncaster 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Notts County 3-0 Doncaster | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Doncaster 1-3 Notts County | League Two |
| Nov 14, 2018 | Notts County 4-2 Doncaster | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Notts County on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Doncaster | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and Doncaster sit 16th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Doncaster played?
- Notts County vs Doncaster is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.