Notts County vs Luton: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Luton?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Luton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Luton have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Notts County win, 4 draws, 1 Luton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Luton 2-2 Notts County | League One |
| May 5, 2018 | Notts County 0-0 Luton | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Luton 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Luton 2-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Notts County 0-0 Luton | League Two |
| Jan 30, 2016 | Luton 0-2 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Luton vs Notts County on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and Luton sit 13th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs Luton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Luton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Luton played?
- Notts County vs Luton is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.