Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Notts County (1,882) and Sheffield Wednesday (1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Sheffield Wednesday
4-2-3-1- 9J. Lowe
- 8C. Slattery
- 16B. Mitchell
- 10B. Bannan
- 20K. Morrison
- 24H. Gray
- 33R. James
- 7Y. Valery
- 6L. Cooper
- 5D. Bernard
- 1J. Lumley
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Notts County wins, 0 draws, 3 Sheffield Wednesday wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2014 | Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Notts County | League Cup |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Notts County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Notts County | League One |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Notts County on Aug 12, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 8th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.