Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20: prediction and stats
Carioca U20Quarter-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro de Treinamento do Nova Iguaçu Futebol Clube, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Fluminense U20 the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Nova Iguaçu U20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fluminense U20 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20?
Fluminense U20 starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,491).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nova Iguaçu U20
Not enough data to predict the Nova Iguaçu U20 lineup.
Fluminense U20
Not enough data to predict the Fluminense U20 lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nova Iguaçu U20 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Fluminense U20 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Botafogo U20(away) | 0-1 | Carioca U20 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Volta Redonda U20(home) | 1-0 | Carioca U20 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bangu U20(away) | 1-1 | Carioca U20 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Madureira U20(home) | 2-2 | Carioca U20 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Boavista U20(away) | 2-3 | Carioca U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portuguesa RJ U20(home) | 4-1 | Carioca U20 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maricá U20(away) | 3-0 | Carioca U20 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vasco da Gama U20(home) | 1-1 | Carioca U20 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Flamengo U20(away) | 3-1 | Carioca U20 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampaio Correa FE U20(home) | 5-1 | Carioca U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Nova Iguaçu U20 wins, 2 draws, 2 Fluminense U20 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nova Iguaçu U20 1-3 Fluminense U20 | Carioca U20 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Fluminense U20 1-1 Nova Iguaçu U20 | Carioca U20 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Nova Iguaçu U20 1-1 Fluminense U20 | Copa Rio U20 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Fluminense U20 3-0 Nova Iguaçu U20 | Carioca U20 |
Last archived meeting: Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20 on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nova Iguaçu U20 score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense U20 score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Iguaçu U20 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fluminense U20 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nova Iguaçu U20 sit 8th in Carioca U20 (10 points from 11 matches) and Fluminense U20 sit 1st (29 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense U20 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fluminense U20 the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Nova Iguaçu U20.
- Where and when is Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20 played?
- Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Fluminense U20 is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centro de Treinamento do Nova Iguaçu Futebol Clube, in the Carioca U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.