Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novatsi
The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Detonit Plachkovica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Novaci (1,330) and Detonit Plachkovica (1,401).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novaci have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Detonit Plachkovica have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Ohrid(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Novaci win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Detonit Plachkovica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Novaci 1-1 Detonit Plachkovica | Second League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Detonit Plachkovica 1-1 Novaci | Second League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Novaci 0-0 Detonit Plachkovica | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Detonit Plachkovica 2-4 Novaci | Second League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Novaci 0-1 Detonit Plachkovica | Second League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Detonit Plachkovica 3-0 Novaci | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Detonit Plachkovica score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Detonit Plachkovica | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novaci sit 12th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Detonit Plachkovica sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Detonit Plachkovica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica?
- The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Detonit Plachkovica.
- Where and when is Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica played?
- Novaci vs Detonit Plachkovica is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.