Novaci vs Teteks: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novatsi
The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Teteks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novaci vs Teteks?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Novaci (1,329) and Teteks (1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novaci have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Teteks have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Makedonija GjP(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vlaznimi(home) | 9-0 | Second League |
| May 23, 2026 | Golemo Konjari(home) | 7-2 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 4-1 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Novaci win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Teteks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Teteks 2-1 Novaci | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Novaci 1-0 Teteks | Second League |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Novaci 1-1 Teteks | Second League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Teteks 0-2 Novaci | Second League |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Novaci 2-3 Teteks | Second League |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Novaci 1-2 Teteks | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Teteks score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Teteks | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novaci sit 12th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Teteks sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Teteks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novaci vs Teteks?
- The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Teteks.
- Where and when is Novaci vs Teteks played?
- Novaci vs Teteks is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.