Belasica vs Pelister: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Blagoj Istatov, Strumica
The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pelister. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belasica vs Pelister?
Pelister starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasica have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pelister have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kamjani(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Belasica win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Pelister win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Pelister 3-0 Belasica | Second League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Belasica 0-2 Pelister | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Belasica 2-1 Pelister | Second League |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Pelister 1-0 Belasica | Second League |
| May 16, 2021 | Pelister 2-0 Belasica | First League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Pelister 1-0 Belasica | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pelister score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Pelister | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belasica sit 1st in Second League (6 points from 2 matches) and Pelister sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Pelister | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belasica vs Pelister?
- The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Pelister.
- Where and when is Belasica vs Pelister played?
- Belasica vs Pelister is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Blagoj Istatov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.