Novara vs Parma: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 26, 2011 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
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What was the result of Novara vs Parma?
Novara won 2-1 on November 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 30′115373Parma (o.g.)
- 70′Raffaele RubinoNovara
- 78′Marco RigoniNovara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Novara have 1 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Parma have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2011 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2011 | AS Roma(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Lecce(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | Robur Siena(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Udinese(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2011 | Udinese(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Lazio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Cesena(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | AC Milan(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Atalanta(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 11; Parma score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
| Parma | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy