Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cukaricki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,696) and Cukaricki (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cukaricki have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(away) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Novi Pazar win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Cukaricki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar 2-2 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Novi Pazar 1-1 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cukaricki 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Cukaricki 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Novi Pazar 2-2 Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Cukaricki 2-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cukaricki score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cukaricki | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Cukaricki sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Cukaricki.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki played?
- Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.