Novigrad vs Lucko: result 1-0 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 24, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lako, Novigrad
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What was the result of Novigrad vs Lucko?
Novigrad won 1-0 on September 24, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Novigrad have 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lucko have 0, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Rudes(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Sep 10, 2016 | HNK Gorica(away) | 1-3 | First NL |
| Sep 7, 2016 | Dinamo Zagreb II(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Sesvete(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Sibenik(home) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Dinamo Zagreb II(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Sibenik(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 7, 2016 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Solin(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Aug 27, 2016 | NK Zagreb(home) | 2-2 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Novigrad score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Lucko score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novigrad | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Lucko | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy