Nublense vs A. Italiano: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on June 8, 2021 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
Full time
What was the result of Nublense vs A. Italiano?
Nublense won 1-0 on June 8, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 54′N. GuerraNublense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; A. Italiano have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2021 | Union La Calera(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 22, 2021 | Curico Unido(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| May 8, 2021 | D. La Serena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 2, 2021 | Colo Colo(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2021 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 10, 2021 | Cobresal(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| May 1, 2021 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2021 | D. Melipilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; A. Italiano score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| A. Italiano | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and A. Italiano sit 13th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy