A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for A. Italiano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
Coquimbo Unido starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Italiano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Coquimbo Unido have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 A. Italiano win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Coquimbo Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2025 | A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Coquimbo Unido 1-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2024 | A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2023 | A. Italiano 1-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
A. Italiano score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coquimbo Unido score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A. Italiano sit 13th in Primera División (16 points from 15 matches) and Coquimbo Unido sit 4th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for A. Italiano.
- Where and when is A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido played?
- A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.