Nublense vs Colo Colo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nublense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nublense vs Colo Colo?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Nublense (1,808) and Colo Colo (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Colo Colo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nublense win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Colo Colo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Colo Colo 6-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Nublense 0-1 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| May 19, 2025 | Colo Colo 2-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Colo Colo 2-1 Nublense | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Nublense 3-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Nublense 0-0 Colo Colo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Colo Colo vs Nublense on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colo Colo score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Colo Colo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Colo Colo sit 1st (36 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nublense vs Colo Colo?
- The Footlab model makes Colo Colo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nublense.
- Where and when is Nublense vs Colo Colo played?
- Nublense vs Colo Colo is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.