Nublense vs A. Italiano: result 2-5 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 25, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
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What was the result of Nublense vs A. Italiano?
A. Italiano won 2-5 on April 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 19′P. RubioNublense
- 30′G. RíosA. Italiano
- 43′G. RíosA. Italiano
- 56′G. RíosA. Italiano
- 61′R. CarocaNublense
- 69′G. SosaA. Italiano (pen.)
- 83′M. SepúlvedaA. Italiano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; A. Italiano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Comunal Cabrero(away) | 3-0 | Copa Chile |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Racing Club(home) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 31, 2023 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2023 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Recoleta(away) | 3-2 | Copa Chile |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Newells Old Boys(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Union La Calera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Nublense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 A. Italiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2022 | Nublense 1-2 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2022 | A. Italiano 1-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2021 | A. Italiano 0-3 Nublense | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2021 | Nublense 1-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nublense vs A. Italiano on Jun 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; A. Italiano score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| A. Italiano | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and A. Italiano sit 13th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy