Nublense vs U. Catolica: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 28, 2021 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
Full time
What was the result of Nublense vs U. Catolica?
U. Catolica won 0-1 on March 28, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 27′F. FontaniniU. Catolica (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; U. Catolica have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2021 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 5-0 | Primera B |
| Jan 7, 2021 | Barnechea(away) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Colo Colo(home) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 5, 2021 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 30, 2021 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 2.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| U. Catolica | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy