Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónMatchday 30Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab AI model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion. The most likely score is 1-1. If U. Catolica wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica?
U. Catolica starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Universidad de Concepcion
4-1-4-1- 22R. Funes Mori
- 16B. Ogaz
- 10J. Fuentealba
- 25H. Salgado
- 7I. González
- 8F. Mater
- 17M. González
- 4O. González
- 3M. Barbieri
- 15Y. Oyanedel
- 1J. Broun
U. Catolica
4-1-4-1- 9F. Zampedri
- 15C. Cuevas
- 20J. Valencia
- 11C. Montes
- 14J. Martínez
- 18J. Rossel
- 3E. Mena
- 5A. Farías
- 26J. Díaz
- 21A. García
- 27D. Melo
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad de Concepcion have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; U. Catolica have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-6 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Universidad de Concepcion wins, 2 draws, 4 U. Catolica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | U. Catolica 5-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion 2-2 U. Catolica | Copa De La Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | U. Catolica 2-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Copa De La Liga |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Universidad de Concepcion 1-2 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2020 | U. Catolica 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Universidad de Concepcion 0-3 U. Catolica | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad de Concepcion score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| U. Catolica | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th in Primera División (26 points from 27 matches) and U. Catolica sit 3rd (49 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 37 | 49 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 49 | 26 |
A question about Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica?
- The Footlab AI model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Universidad de Concepcion.
- Where and when is Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica played?
- Universidad de Concepcion vs U. Catolica is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.