Huachipato vs Nublense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CAP, Talcahuano
The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Huachipato. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huachipato vs Nublense?
Nublense starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huachipato have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Nublense have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Palestino(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huachipato win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nublense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Nublense 2-2 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Nublense 0-1 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Huachipato 2-1 Nublense | Copa Chile |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Nublense 2-2 Huachipato | Copa Chile |
| May 31, 2025 | Huachipato 0-1 Nublense | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Huachipato 1-0 Nublense | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nublense vs Huachipato on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huachipato score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huachipato sit 6th in Primera División (23 points from 15 matches) and Nublense sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huachipato vs Nublense?
- The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Huachipato.
- Where and when is Huachipato vs Nublense played?
- Huachipato vs Nublense is played on December 6, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio CAP, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.