Nueva Concepción vs Santa Lucía: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on August 23, 2015 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Luis Ibarra, Nueva Concepción
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What was the result of Nueva Concepción vs Santa Lucía?
Nueva Concepción won 1-0 on August 23, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nueva Concepción have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Lucía have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Heredia(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2015 | Barillas(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Ayutla(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 15, 2015 | Huehueteco(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2015 | Huehueteco(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Deportivo Chiantla(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 9, 2015 | Iztapa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 2, 2015 | Heredia(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Nueva Concepción score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Lucía score 0.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Concepción | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Lucía | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1/4 | 0/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nueva Concepción | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy