Numancia vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Numancia vs CF Talavera?
On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,976 points and CF Talavera 1,908.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Numancia vs CF Talavera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Numancia
4-3-3- 9Jony González
- 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
- 26C. Godson
- 8M. Gning
- 5O. De Frutos
- 6N. Lucas Rey
- 2Marcos Sánchez
- 16Carlos Gutiérrez
- 22Fermín Ruiz
- 4Ian Olivera
- 1M. Abad
CF Talavera
Not enough data to predict the CF Talavera lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; CF Talavera have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Numancia win, 1 draw, 1 CF Talavera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Numancia 1-0 CF Talavera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | CF Talavera 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2023 | CF Talavera 2-0 Numancia | Copa Federacion |
Last archived meeting: Numancia vs CF Talavera on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| CF Talavera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Numancia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 5 matches) and CF Talavera sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Numancia vs CF Talavera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Numancia vs CF Talavera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for CF Talavera.
- Where and when is Numancia vs CF Talavera played?
- Numancia vs CF Talavera is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026A Madrid IIIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Oct 18, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsReal Ávila
- Oct 18, 2026Getafe IIvsAlbacete II
- Oct 18, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsGuadalajara
- Oct 18, 2026ConquensevsAtlético Paso
- Oct 18, 2026RSD AlcalávsReal Madrid III
- Oct 18, 2026SS ReyesvsCalvo Sotelo
- Oct 18, 2026Salamanca UDSvsNavalcarnero