Where and when is CF Talavera vs Guadalajara played?

CF Talavera vs Guadalajara is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

Guadalajara

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Guadalajara?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,898) and Guadalajara (1,881).

CF Talavera win47 %

Draw27 %

Guadalajara win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Talavera win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Guadalajara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Guadalajara 1-1 CF Talavera	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 4, 2026	CF Talavera 2-0 Guadalajara	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 1, 2025	CF Talavera 0-0 Guadalajara	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 22, 2024	Guadalajara 2-0 CF Talavera	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 18, 2024	CF Talavera 0-0 Guadalajara	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2023	Guadalajara 1-2 CF Talavera	Copa Federacion

Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs CF Talavera on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Talavera sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (66 points from 34 matches) and Guadalajara sit 1st (74 points from 34 matches).

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guadalajara	34	22	8	4	60	22	74
3	CF Talavera	34	19	9	6	50	27	66

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Guadalajara?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Guadalajara played?: CF Talavera vs Guadalajara is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.